1. The Overall Situation
East Asia has been witnessing dramatic economic and political advancements in these years. This is due first to such emerging economies as the Republic of Korea and Singapore, and then to the recent developments in China and India. The rapid Asian economic miracle has created a large middle class, which in turn fuels expectations for greater freedom and democratic institutions. This trend is irreversible. The combination of economic development and political freedom will create even more “opportunities” for the region to expand its prosperity and stability.
Of course, we must not let ourselves become complacent about the many challenges that East Asia still faces. The Cold War may have ended with the fall of the Berlin Wall in 1989, but remnants of that period persist at the other end of the Eurasian Continent, most notably on the Korean Peninsula. Equally worrisome are newer threats such as terrorism, rising nationalism, and the growing development gap within and among countries in the region. There is a risk that these negative factors could overshadow the region’s enormous potential, or could even lead to instability in the region.
How then will East Asia cope with these negative factors while taking advantage of the opportunities? Let me explain to you, at the outset of the speech, the gist of three basic policies Japan is pursuing in the region:
①: To maintain the Japan-US Security Arrangements, which is a cornerstone for the stability in the region, thereby securing the deterrence against developments that could destabilise the region
②: To cooperate, in a spirit of humility and with feelings of deep remorse and heartfelt apology expressed by our leaders regarding the last War, with other Asian nations, which are pursuing the path of “prosperity and peace through democracy”, as Japan has been doing for the past 60 years.
③: To promote activities and initiatives in a broad range of areas such as finance, economic partnership, investment and cross-border issues.
2. Some of the Major Issues in the Region
(1) North Korea
As it is still fresh in your memory due to recent developments, North Korea is one of the most urgent and delicate concerns in East Asia.
The Democratic People’s Republic of Korea, DPRK, or North Korea, is still under the typical, Cold War era, dictatorial communist regime.
There are, among other things, two issues with regard to this country. One is the development of nuclear weapons and missiles capable of carrying them. This development affects the peace and security in the region. The other is the issues of abduction and human rights.
(Nuclear issue)
North Korea’s missile launches, which occurred between July 4th and 5th 2006, reminded us acutely of a possible threat to the security of Japan and other countries. The nature of the threat becomes more serious, in light of North Korea’s claim that it has developed nuclear weapons.
Against this action, the UN Security Council unanimously adopted resolution 1695 on July 15th. It condemned the launch of ballistic missiles by North Korea, sending a strong message by the international community.
The resolution demanded the ceasing of DPRK’s missile-related programme, the re-establishment of a moratorium on missile launching, a swift return to the Six-Party Talks without precondition, and efforts toward early implementation of the Joint Statement of the Six-Party Talks of September 2005.
Japan played an active and important role as a member of the Security Council in the process from the drafting to the adoption of the resolution.
In this context, I would like to emphasise the importance of the role being played by the EU, which confirmed its support for Japan’s position on this matter. In Malaysia on July 27th, Dr. Javier Solana expressed at a meeting with Mr. Aso, the Japanese Minister for Foreign Affairs, that the EU thoroughly endorsed Japan’s position in regards to the North Korean matter and that the EU shared Japan’s concerns on the missiles issue.
(Abductees and Human Rights issue)
The second issue is the unresolved problem of Japanese citizens abducted by North Korea.
From 1977 to 1983, agents of the North Korean government kidnapped an unknown number of Japanese citizens in Japan and abroad. In September 2002, Kim Jong Il, the leader of North Korea, for the first time and after years of denial, admitted directly to Prime Minister Koizumi that the North Korean authorities had kidnapped Japanese citizens. He apologised and agreed never to abduct foreign nationals again.
To date, of the sixteen identified abductees, only five Japanese have returned home since October 2002. None of the other victims have returned to Japan, and there has been no persuasive explanation from the North Korean authorities about the safety of the remaining 11 abductees.
The Government of Japan repeatedly urges North Korea immediately to allow the survivors to return home and clarify the true facts. The Thai government is also raising the issue on the abduction of its nationals. Some Europeans were also said to be the victims.
It goes without saying that abduction is clearly a violation of human rights, human dignity and fundamental rights.
Through diplomatic efforts by the EU, Japan and other countries, in December 2005, a resolution on the "Situation of human rights in the Democratic People's Republic of Korea" was adopted by a plenary session of the UN General Assembly for the first time. This resolution expressed deep concern regarding the human rights situation in North Korea, including the issue of abduction of foreign nationals. It called on North Korea to cooperate with the UN to improve its human rights situation.
I believe that the seriousness of abduction and human rights issue of North Korea has been shared by the international society as a result of the close cooperation between Japan and the EU.
(2) China: A Rising Power
(China’s development)
Now, I would like to talk about an East Asian rising power: China.
China's recent economic growth has been the marvel of the world. The Chinese economy now ranks fourth in the world after the US, Japan and Germany. Indeed it is larger than four of the G7 economies.
The Chinese economic dynamism provides opportunities, not only for Japan and the EU, but also for other countries in the world. Certainly, China faces social challenges such as growth gaps between rich and poor, between agriculture and industry, and among different regions, or problems relating to the environment, energy and water. However, it is expected that appropriate measures will sustain China’s growth.
In the area of international politics, as you can judge from the Six-Party Talks, for example, China endeavours to help resolve issues that could impact negatively on itself and the broader region. Japan welcomes this sort of constructive Chinese engagement in the region.
(China’s lack of transparency)
Yet, one cannot overlook China's growing defence budget. There has been a double-digit growth in China's defence spending for the past 18 successive years without its transparency.
Examining Chinese defence spending in 2005, the National People's Congress last year announced the figure to be 244.7 billion Yuan, approximately 29.5 billion US dollars, a 12.6 percent increase over 2004. The Chinese national defence expenditures announced for 2005 are roughly double those declared in 2000, and triple those from 1997. These figures suggest a swift-paced expansion of military expenditure.
The problem is that transparency is lacking as to how the expanded expenditure is augmenting what capabilities to achieve what military objectives.
Also, in addition to the above published figures, it is said that there is still other military-related spending. This increases the degree of non-transparency.
In order to build confidence among its partners, and to increase the predictability of the East Asian regional environment, it is expected that the Chinese government will implement policies, which are more open and accountable to its people as well as to the outside world. In other words, it is expected that China will become a more responsible and constructive global partner in the region and international community. This will be a key to achieving the ultimate goal of a “stable and prosperous East Asia”.
This view was also confirmed by the leaders of Japan and the EU at the Japan-EU Summit in April this year.
(3) Cross-Strait Issues
I should just briefly mention that another remnant of the Cold War in East Asia is the Cross-Strait, or Taiwan Strait issue.
Japan, like other members of the international community, hopes for peaceful resolution through dialogue between both sides of the strait. It is everyone’s interest that this issue will not develop into a military confrontation.
I would just like to reiterate here that Japan will keep the position stipulated in the Japan-China Joint Communiqué of 1972, in the understanding that there is but one China.